Active prediction markets on Orakul
Geopolitics
Will Putin and Zelensky meet in person by the end of 2026?
Yes4.2x24%
No1.3x76%
$33,964 vol · 655
Celebrities
Will Mikhail Litvin have an official fight (pop-MMA or boxing) before December 31, 2026?
Yes9.1x11%
No1.1x89%
$19,857 vol · 442
Finance
What will the Bank of Russia key rate be after the June 19 meeting?
14.25% (-25 bp)3.1x32%
14.00% (-50 bp)2.4x41%
13.75% (-75 bp)22.4x4%
$14,145 vol · 410
Celebrities
Will Mellstroy and IShowSpeed do a joint stream by end of 2026?
Yes10.9x9%
No1.1x91%
$13,790 vol · 284
Russia
Which foreign brand returns to Russia first by December 31, 2026?
Coca-Cola84.7x1%
Apple81.1x1%
None of these returns officially in 20261.3x77%
$13,382 vol · 439
Finance
What will the Bank of Russia key rate be at the end of 2026?
13.50% - 14.25%3.5x28%
12.50% - 13.25%3.3x31%
11.50% - 12.25%3.7x27%
$9,095 vol · 327
Politics
When will the US-Iran peace memorandum be signed?
By June 1, 20262.8x36%
June 1 - July 31, 20264.6x22%
August 1 - October 31, 20265.1x19%
$8,170 vol · 271
Entertainment
When will Dima Maslennikov hit 20 million YouTube subscribers?
Before July 31, 20265.7x17%
August 1 - September 30, 20262.5x40%
October 1 - November 30, 20264.3x23%
$8,043 vol · 358
Politics
When will normal shipping resume in the Strait of Hormuz?
By July 31, 20264.1x24%
August 1 - October 31, 20262.8x36%
November 1 - December 31, 20266.4x16%
$7,517 vol · 248
Russia
When will commercial flights resume from Anapa Airport (Vityazevo)?
Before July 1, 202633.6x3%
July 1 - September 30, 20262.3x43%
October 1 - December 31, 20264.4x23%
$7,473 vol · 327
Celebrities
Will Artem Chekalin be released from custody by 30 June 2026?
Yes52.2x2%
No1.0x98%
$7,454 vol · 219
Sports
Will Arman Tsarukyan get a UFC title fight by 31 December 2026?
Yes1.6x62%
No2.6x38%
$6,644 vol · 305
Weather
What will be the maximum temperature in Krasnodar in July 2026? Record is +40.7°C
Warm (+35.1 to +37.0°C)3.4x30%
Hot (+37.1 to +38.5°C)2.7x38%
Anomalous (+38.6 to +40.7°C)6.6x15%
$6,269 vol · 291
Russia
Erik Gafarov after the Sobchak interview: what will happen in the Netherlands by end of 2026?
In NL with refugee status1.2x86%
In NL, refugee status revoked20.8x5%
Emigrated to a third country19.2x5%
$5,831 vol · 302
Entertainment
Kholop 3 box office in Russia, summer 2026 (Jun 11 - Aug 31)
Less than 2B RUB7.0x14%
2 to 3B RUB2.2x45%
3 to 4B RUB3.6x28%
$5,822 vol · 304
Weather
What will be the maximum temperature in Moscow in July 2026? Record is +38.2°C
Cool (< +30.0°C)6.3x16%
Warm (+30.0 to +32.9°C)2.2x45%
Hot (+33.0 to +34.9°C)3.3x30%
$5,685 vol · 295
Weather
What will be the maximum temperature in Sochi in July 2026? Record is +39.4°C
Mild (≤ +31.5°C)7.4x13%
Warm (+31.6 to +33.0°C)3.2x32%
Hot (+33.1 to +35.0°C)3.2x31%
$5,382 vol · 311
Weather
What will be the maximum temperature in Saint Petersburg in July 2026? Record is +35.3°C
Cool (≤ +28.0°C)2.9x34%
Warm (+28.1 to +31.0°C)4.1x24%
Hot (+31.1 to +33.5°C)3.1x32%
$5,101 vol · 299
Celebrities
Will there be a Sobchak vs Solovyov joint broadcast by 31 December 2026?
Yes14.3x7%
No1.1x93%
$5,069 vol · 182
Politics
Will Pavel Durov appear on Russian territory in 2026?
Yes75.3x1%
No1.0x99%
$4,996 vol · 233
Politics
Will Victoria Bonya be designated foreign agent in Russia by 30 June 2026?
Yes17.2x6%
No1.1x94%
$4,908 vol · 230
Weather
What will be the maximum temperature in Yekaterinburg in July 2026? Record is +40.0°C
Cool (≤ +29.0°C)4.8x21%
Warm (+29.1 to +32.5°C)3.2x31%
Hot (+32.6 to +35.0°C)3.8x26%
$4,572 vol · 284
Technology
Will YouTube be fully blocked in Russia by 31 December 2026?
Yes1.5x68%
No3.1x32%
$4,216 vol · 206
Geopolitics
Will Russia and Ukraine sign a peace agreement by end of 2026?
Yes, in Q4 2026 (October–December)10.7x9%
Leaders' meeting only, no signed document5.6x18%
No document signed by end of 20261.5x68%
$2,346 vol · 158
Celebrities
Will Sedokova and Dzhigan officially become a couple by August 31, 2026?
Yes8.6x12%
No1.1x88%
$1,427 vol · 108
Gaming
Will Roskomnadzor block Minecraft in Russia by December 31, 2026?
Yes17.3x6%
No1.1x94%
$919 vol · 89