Active prediction markets on Orakul
Politics
When will the US-Iran peace memorandum be signed?
By June 1, 20262.8x36%
June 1 - July 31, 20264.6x22%
August 1 - October 31, 20265.1x19%
$8,170 vol · 271
Politics
When will normal shipping resume in the Strait of Hormuz?
By July 31, 20264.1x24%
August 1 - October 31, 20262.8x36%
November 1 - December 31, 20266.4x16%
$7,517 vol · 248
Politics
Will Pavel Durov appear on Russian territory in 2026?
Yes75.3x1%
No1.0x99%
$4,996 vol · 233
Politics
Will Victoria Bonya be designated foreign agent in Russia by 30 June 2026?
Yes17.2x6%
No1.1x94%
$4,908 vol · 230
Politics
Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel on January 1, 2027?
Yes, remains Prime Minister1.7x58%
No, does not remain Prime Minister2.4x42%
$1,092 vol · 67
Politics
Which government will be first to officially confirm alien life or technology before end of 2026?
China444.5x0.2%
Other country or international organisation53.3x2%
Nobody1.2x82%
$1,083 vol · 66