Gaming
Will Roskomnadzor block Minecraft in Russia by December 31, 2026?
This market resolves based on official Roskomnadzor blocking of Minecraft — inclusion of the game in the restricted-info registry (zapret-info.gov.ru) before 23:59 MSK December 31, 2026. 📋 Context On December 3, 2025, Roskomnadzor officially blocked Roblox in Russia (administrative action without court order) after months of demands to restrict content. Escalation took approximately 22 months — from initial RKN demands in January 2024 to actual block. After the Roblox block, Telegram channels actively spread rumors that Minecraft was next. However, Roskomnadzor publicly denied these plans twice: • December 5, 2025 — after first rumor wave; • April 6, 2026 — after Moscow Department of Education warnings about scammers using in-game chat. Microsoft/Mojang suspended commercial Minecraft sales in Russia back in 2022 (unavailable on Steam, App Store, Google Play), so the political motive for formal block is partially exhausted. 📋 Resolution criterion "Yes" wins if Roskomnadzor officially adds Minecraft (*.minecraft.net domains, *.mojang.com, or game-tied Microsoft IPs) to the restricted-info registry before 23:59 MSK December 31, 2026, with public confirmation from RKN, Interfax, TASS, or RBC. ✅ Counts • Inclusion of Minecraft domain/IP in zapret-info.gov.ru; • Public Roskomnadzor statement on Minecraft block; • Block confirmation by Interfax, TASS, RBC. ❌ Does not count • Traffic throttling without formal block; • Removal from App Store / Google Play (already happened in 2022); • Cloudflare collateral outages without targeted block; • Block of individual Minecraft servers rather than the game as a whole. 📰 Verification Primary sources: Roskomnadzor (rkn.gov.ru), zapret-info.gov.ru registry. Additional: Interfax, TASS, RBC. Minimum 2 independent confirmations.
