Will YouTube be fully blocked in Russia by 31 December 2026?

This market resolves after 31 December 2026, 23:59 UTC by Orakul administration based on official Roskomnadzor data. 📋 Resolution criteria The «YES» contract wins if, between market launch and 31 December 2026, Roskomnadzor officially adds YouTube to the Unified Registry of Blocked Resources (eais.rkn.gov.ru) AND major Russian ISPs (Rostelecom, Beeline, MTS, MegaFon, Tele2) actually enforce DNS or IP-level blocking without VPN access. ✅ Counts • Inclusion of youtube.com and m.youtube.com in the Unified Registry of Blocked Sites • YouTube being inaccessible without VPN on at least 4 of 5 major Russian ISPs simultaneously • Official Roskomnadzor statement or court ruling on full platform blocking, followed by ISP enforcement ❌ Does not count • Throttling or speed limits without full blocking • Regional or temporary blocks (e.g. during military exercises or special events) • Blocking individual channels or videos • Disabling specific features (comments, monetization, live streams) • Mobile-only restrictions while wired ISPs remain unaffected • Announced but not enforced blocking by 31.12.2026 📰 Verification The Roskomnadzor Unified Registry (eais.rkn.gov.ru) is a public, official, undisputed source. Additionally: coverage in major Russian and international media, GlobalCheck/NetBlocks reports, mass migration of users to VPN services. 🔧 Process After 31 December 2026, 23:59 UTC Orakul administration checks the status of youtube.com in the Roskomnadzor registry and records the outcome. Dispute window - 24 hours after publication.