Active prediction markets on Orakul
Geopolitics
Will Putin and Zelensky meet in person by the end of 2026?
Yes5.3x19%
No1.2x81%
$35,645 vol · 711
Celebrities
Will Mikhail Litvin have an official fight (pop-MMA or boxing) before December 31, 2026?
Yes6.2x16%
No1.2x84%
$20,148 vol · 460
Finance
What will the Bank of Russia key rate be after the June 19 meeting?
14.25% (-25 bp)4.9x20%
14.00% (-50 bp)1.7x60%
13.75% (-75 bp)29.3x3%
$14,730 vol · 481
Celebrities
Will Mellstroy and IShowSpeed do a joint stream by end of 2026?
Yes20.8x5%
No1.1x95%
$14,437 vol · 312
Russia
Which foreign brand returns to Russia first by December 31, 2026?
Coca-Cola110.2x0.9%
Apple204.8x0.5%
None of these returns officially in 20261.1x87%
$14,082 vol · 486
Finance
What will the Bank of Russia key rate be at the end of 2026?
13.50% - 14.25%6.6x15%
12.50% - 13.25%2.5x40%
11.50% - 12.25%3.0x33%
$9,360 vol · 383
Entertainment
When will Dima Maslennikov hit 20 million YouTube subscribers?
Before July 31, 20263.2x32%
August 1 - September 30, 20262.2x45%
October 1 - November 30, 20267.3x14%
$8,320 vol · 422
Russia
When will commercial flights resume from Anapa Airport (Vityazevo)?
Before July 1, 202631.4x3%
July 1 - September 30, 20262.0x49%
October 1 - December 31, 20264.4x23%
$7,593 vol · 366
Celebrities
Will Artem Chekalin be released from custody by 30 June 2026?
Yes79.9x1%
No1.0x99%
$7,590 vol · 235
Sports
Will Arman Tsarukyan get a UFC title fight by 31 December 2026?
Yes1.6x64%
No2.8x36%
$6,713 vol · 332
Weather
What will be the maximum temperature in Krasnodar in July 2026? Record is +40.7°C
Warm (+35.1 to +37.0°C)3.4x30%
Hot (+37.1 to +38.5°C)2.6x38%
Anomalous (+38.6 to +40.7°C)5.9x17%
$6,372 vol · 347
Entertainment
Kholop 3 box office in Russia, summer 2026 (Jun 11 - Aug 31)
Less than 2B RUB1.9x51%
2 to 3B RUB3.1x32%
3 to 4B RUB8.4x12%
$6,106 vol · 374
Russia
Erik Gafarov after the Sobchak interview: what will happen in the Netherlands by end of 2026?
In NL with refugee status1.2x84%
In NL, refugee status revoked15.5x6%
Emigrated to a third country21.3x5%
$5,990 vol · 337
Weather
What will be the maximum temperature in Moscow in July 2026? Record is +38.2°C
Cool (< +30.0°C)7.8x13%
Warm (+30.0 to +32.9°C)2.4x42%
Hot (+33.0 to +34.9°C)3.1x33%
$5,790 vol · 351
Weather
What will be the maximum temperature in Sochi in July 2026? Record is +39.4°C
Mild (≤ +31.5°C)5.6x18%
Warm (+31.6 to +33.0°C)2.8x35%
Hot (+33.1 to +35.0°C)3.4x30%
$5,511 vol · 377
Celebrities
Will there be a Sobchak vs Solovyov joint broadcast by 31 December 2026?
Yes32.2x3%
No1.0x97%
$5,238 vol · 202
Weather
What will be the maximum temperature in Saint Petersburg in July 2026? Record is +35.3°C
Cool (≤ +28.0°C)2.4x41%
Warm (+28.1 to +31.0°C)3.6x28%
Hot (+31.1 to +33.5°C)4.4x23%
$5,177 vol · 327
Politics
Will Pavel Durov appear on Russian territory in 2026?
Yes53.9x2%
No1.0x98%
$5,079 vol · 245
Politics
Will Victoria Bonya be designated foreign agent in Russia by 30 June 2026?
Yes13.0x8%
No1.1x92%
$5,071 vol · 256
Weather
What will be the maximum temperature in Yekaterinburg in July 2026? Record is +40.0°C
Cool (≤ +29.0°C)5.4x18%
Warm (+29.1 to +32.5°C)3.1x32%
Hot (+32.6 to +35.0°C)3.6x28%
$4,624 vol · 320
Technology
Will YouTube be fully blocked in Russia by 31 December 2026?
Yes1.2x85%
No6.7x15%
$4,383 vol · 230
Geopolitics
Will Russia and Ukraine sign a peace agreement by end of 2026?
Yes, in Q4 2026 (October–December)12.7x8%
Leaders' meeting only, no signed document5.3x19%
No document signed by end of 20261.4x71%
$2,808 vol · 200
Celebrities
Will Sedokova and Dzhigan officially become a couple by August 31, 2026?
Yes20.0x5%
No1.1x95%
$1,883 vol · 131
Gaming
Will Roskomnadzor block Minecraft in Russia by December 31, 2026?
Yes16.1x6%
No1.1x94%
$1,407 vol · 124