Orakul - Prediction Market for Real-World Events
What price will Bitcoin close at on December 31, 2026? 7% ▬ 0.0 · Will Putin and Zelensky meet in person by the end of 2026? 18% ▬ 0.0 · Will Mikhail Litvin have an official fight (pop-MMA or boxing) before December 31, 2026? 16% ▬ 0.0 · Will Mellstroy and IShowSpeed do a joint stream by end of 2026? 4% ▬ 0.0 · Which foreign brand returns to Russia first by December 31, 2026? 3% ▬ 0.0 · What will the Bank of Russia key rate be at the end of 2026? 4% ▬ 0.0 · When will the US-Iran peace memorandum be signed? 1% ▬ 0.0 · When will Dima Maslennikov hit 20 million YouTube subscribers? 31% ▬ 0.0 · When will normal shipping resume in the Strait of Hormuz? 13% ▬ 0.0 · When will commercial flights resume from Anapa Airport (Vityazevo)? 3% ▬ 0.0 · What price will Bitcoin close at on December 31, 2026? 7% ▬ 0.0 · Will Putin and Zelensky meet in person by the end of 2026? 18% ▬ 0.0 · Will Mikhail Litvin have an official fight (pop-MMA or boxing) before December 31, 2026? 16% ▬ 0.0 · Will Mellstroy and IShowSpeed do a joint stream by end of 2026? 4% ▬ 0.0 · Which foreign brand returns to Russia first by December 31, 2026? 3% ▬ 0.0 · What will the Bank of Russia key rate be at the end of 2026? 4% ▬ 0.0 · When will the US-Iran peace memorandum be signed? 1% ▬ 0.0 · When will Dima Maslennikov hit 20 million YouTube subscribers? 31% ▬ 0.0 · When will normal shipping resume in the Strait of Hormuz? 13% ▬ 0.0 · When will commercial flights resume from Anapa Airport (Vityazevo)? 3% ▬ 0.0

Orakul - Prediction Market for Real Events

Trade on the probabilities of real events

From politics and crypto to sports and weather. The contract price is the market's view of the probability.

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Live market · Crypto
What price will Bitcoin close at on December 31, 2026?
$95,000 - $110,000 14%
$110,000 - $125,000 12%
$59,995 vol · 1,429 traders
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✓ Winner
Scorching (≥ +27.5°C)
What will be St. Petersburg's max temperature for the week o…
$282
✓ Winner
Warm (+25.0 to +26.9°C)
What will be Moscow's max temperature for the week of June 1…
$254
✓ Winner
≥ 73.50 ₽/$
What will the CBR USD/RUB rate be on June 5, 2026 (Friday)?
$407
Trending New Ending Soon
What price will Bitcoin close at on December 31, 2026?
Crypto
What price will Bitcoin close at on December 31, 2026?
$85,000 - $95,0009.4x11%
$95,000 - $110,0007.4x14%
$110,000 - $125,0008.7x12%
$59,995 vol · 1,429 traders
Will Putin and Zelensky meet in person by the end of 2026?
Geopolitics
Will Putin and Zelensky meet in person by the end of 2026?
Yes5.3x19%
No1.2x81%
$35,645 vol · 711 traders
Will Mikhail Litvin have an official fight (pop-MMA or boxing) before December 31, 2026?
Celebrities
Will Mikhail Litvin have an official fight (pop-MMA or boxing) before December 31, 2026?
Yes6.2x16%
No1.2x84%
$20,148 vol · 460 traders
Will Mellstroy and IShowSpeed do a joint stream by end of 2026?
Celebrities
Will Mellstroy and IShowSpeed do a joint stream by end of 2026?
Yes20.8x5%
No1.1x95%
$14,437 vol · 312 traders
Which foreign brand returns to Russia first by December 31, 2026?
Russia
Which foreign brand returns to Russia first by December 31, 2026?
Coca-Cola110.2x0.9%
Apple204.8x0.5%
None of these returns officially in 20261.1x87%
$14,082 vol · 486 traders
What will the Bank of Russia key rate be at the end of 2026?
Finance
What will the Bank of Russia key rate be at the end of 2026?
13.50% - 14.25%6.6x15%
12.50% - 13.25%2.5x40%
11.50% - 12.25%3.0x33%
$9,360 vol · 383 traders
When will the US-Iran peace memorandum be signed?
Politics
When will the US-Iran peace memorandum be signed?
By June 1, 202678.5x1%
June 1 - July 31, 20261.2x86%
August 1 - October 31, 202614.5x7%
$9,267 vol · 342 traders
When will Dima Maslennikov hit 20 million YouTube subscribers?
Entertainment
When will Dima Maslennikov hit 20 million YouTube subscribers?
Before July 31, 20263.2x32%
August 1 - September 30, 20262.2x45%
October 1 - November 30, 20267.3x14%
$8,320 vol · 422 traders
When will normal shipping resume in the Strait of Hormuz?
Politics
When will normal shipping resume in the Strait of Hormuz?
By July 31, 20267.4x14%
August 1 - October 31, 20262.0x51%
November 1 - December 31, 20264.5x22%
$7,794 vol · 315 traders
When will commercial flights resume from Anapa Airport (Vityazevo)?
Russia
When will commercial flights resume from Anapa Airport (Vityazevo)?
Before July 1, 202631.4x3%
July 1 - September 30, 20262.0x49%
October 1 - December 31, 20264.4x23%
$7,593 vol · 366 traders
Will Arman Tsarukyan get a UFC title fight by 31 December 2026?
Sports
Will Arman Tsarukyan get a UFC title fight by 31 December 2026?
Yes1.6x64%
No2.8x36%
$6,713 vol · 332 traders
What will be the maximum temperature in Krasnodar in July 2026? Record is +40.7°C
Weather
What will be the maximum temperature in Krasnodar in July 2026? Record is +40.7°C
Warm (+35.1 to +37.0°C)3.4x30%
Hot (+37.1 to +38.5°C)2.6x38%
Anomalous (+38.6 to +40.7°C)5.9x17%
$6,372 vol · 347 traders
Kholop 3 box office in Russia, summer 2026 (Jun 11 - Aug 31)
Entertainment
Kholop 3 box office in Russia, summer 2026 (Jun 11 - Aug 31)
Less than 2B RUB1.9x51%
2 to 3B RUB3.1x32%
3 to 4B RUB8.4x12%
$6,106 vol · 374 traders
Erik Gafarov after the Sobchak interview: what will happen in the Netherlands by end of 2026?
Russia
Erik Gafarov after the Sobchak interview: what will happen in the Netherlands by end of 2026?
In NL with refugee status1.2x84%
In NL, refugee status revoked15.5x6%
Emigrated to a third country21.3x5%
$5,990 vol · 337 traders
What will be the maximum temperature in Moscow in July 2026? Record is +38.2°C
Weather
What will be the maximum temperature in Moscow in July 2026? Record is +38.2°C
Cool (< +30.0°C)7.8x13%
Warm (+30.0 to +32.9°C)2.4x42%
Hot (+33.0 to +34.9°C)3.1x33%
$5,790 vol · 351 traders
What will be the maximum temperature in Sochi in July 2026? Record is +39.4°C
Weather
What will be the maximum temperature in Sochi in July 2026? Record is +39.4°C
Mild (≤ +31.5°C)5.6x18%
Warm (+31.6 to +33.0°C)2.8x35%
Hot (+33.1 to +35.0°C)3.4x30%
$5,511 vol · 377 traders
Will there be a Sobchak vs Solovyov joint broadcast by 31 December 2026?
Celebrities
Will there be a Sobchak vs Solovyov joint broadcast by 31 December 2026?
Yes32.2x3%
No1.0x97%
$5,238 vol · 202 traders
What will be the maximum temperature in Saint Petersburg in July 2026? Record is +35.3°C
Weather
What will be the maximum temperature in Saint Petersburg in July 2026? Record is +35.3°C
Cool (≤ +28.0°C)2.4x41%
Warm (+28.1 to +31.0°C)3.6x28%
Hot (+31.1 to +33.5°C)4.4x23%
$5,177 vol · 327 traders
Will Pavel Durov appear on Russian territory in 2026?
Politics
Will Pavel Durov appear on Russian territory in 2026?
Yes53.9x2%
No1.0x98%
$5,079 vol · 245 traders
What will be the maximum temperature in Yekaterinburg in July 2026? Record is +40.0°C
Weather
What will be the maximum temperature in Yekaterinburg in July 2026? Record is +40.0°C
Cool (≤ +29.0°C)5.4x18%
Warm (+29.1 to +32.5°C)3.1x32%
Hot (+32.6 to +35.0°C)3.6x28%
$4,624 vol · 320 traders
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🔥 Trending See all →
1
What price will Bitcoin close at on December 31, 2026?
$59,995
14% 2
Will Putin and Zelensky meet in person by the end of 2026?
$35,645
81% 3
Will Mikhail Litvin have an official fight (pop-MMA or boxing) before December 31, 2026?
$20,148
84% 4
Will Mellstroy and IShowSpeed do a joint stream by end of 2026?
$14,437
95% 5
Which foreign brand returns to Russia first by December 31, 2026?
$14,082
87% 6
What will the Bank of Russia key rate be at the end of 2026?
$9,360
40%
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