Orakul - Prediction Market for Real-World Events
What price will Bitcoin close at on December 31, 2026? 7% ▬ 0.0 · What price will Bitcoin close at on June 30, 2026? 3% ▬ 0.0 · Will Putin and Zelensky meet in person by the end of 2026? 23% ▬ 0.0 · Will Mikhail Litvin have an official fight (pop-MMA or boxing) before December 31, 2026? 10% ▬ 0.0 · What will the Bank of Russia key rate be after the June 19 meeting? 20% ▬ 0.0 · Who will win IEM Cologne 2026 - the main CS2 Major of the season? 50% ▬ 0.0 · Will Mellstroy and IShowSpeed do a joint stream by end of 2026? 9% ▬ 0.0 · Which foreign brand returns to Russia first by December 31, 2026? 6% ▬ 0.0 · What will the Bank of Russia key rate be at the end of 2026? 6% ▬ 0.0 · When will the US-Iran peace memorandum be signed? 35% ▬ 0.0 · What price will Bitcoin close at on December 31, 2026? 7% ▬ 0.0 · What price will Bitcoin close at on June 30, 2026? 3% ▬ 0.0 · Will Putin and Zelensky meet in person by the end of 2026? 23% ▬ 0.0 · Will Mikhail Litvin have an official fight (pop-MMA or boxing) before December 31, 2026? 10% ▬ 0.0 · What will the Bank of Russia key rate be after the June 19 meeting? 20% ▬ 0.0 · Who will win IEM Cologne 2026 - the main CS2 Major of the season? 50% ▬ 0.0 · Will Mellstroy and IShowSpeed do a joint stream by end of 2026? 9% ▬ 0.0 · Which foreign brand returns to Russia first by December 31, 2026? 6% ▬ 0.0 · What will the Bank of Russia key rate be at the end of 2026? 6% ▬ 0.0 · When will the US-Iran peace memorandum be signed? 35% ▬ 0.0

Orakul - Prediction Market for Real Events

Trade on the probabilities of real events

From politics and crypto to sports and weather. The contract price is the market's view of the probability.

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Live market · Crypto
What price will Bitcoin close at on December 31, 2026?
$95,000 - $110,000 15%
$110,000 - $125,000 11%
$58,172 vol · 1,331 traders
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Orakul market Verified markets Community market User-created contracts
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✓ Winner
Scorching (≥ +27.5°C)
What will be St. Petersburg's max temperature for the week o…
$282
✓ Winner
Warm (+25.0 to +26.9°C)
What will be Moscow's max temperature for the week of June 1…
$254
✓ Winner
≥ 73.50 ₽/$
What will the CBR USD/RUB rate be on June 5, 2026 (Friday)?
$407
Trending New Ending Soon
What price will Bitcoin close at on December 31, 2026?
Crypto
What price will Bitcoin close at on December 31, 2026?
$85,000 - $95,0008.3x12%
$95,000 - $110,0006.9x15%
$110,000 - $125,0008.7x11%
$58,172 vol · 1,331 traders
What price will Bitcoin close at on June 30, 2026?
Crypto
What price will Bitcoin close at on June 30, 2026?
$60,000 - $65,00013.6x7%
$65,000 - $70,0004.1x25%
$70,000 - $75,0004.3x23%
$42,214 vol · 910 traders
Will Putin and Zelensky meet in person by the end of 2026?
Geopolitics
Will Putin and Zelensky meet in person by the end of 2026?
Yes4.2x24%
No1.3x76%
$33,964 vol · 655 traders
Will Mikhail Litvin have an official fight (pop-MMA or boxing) before December 31, 2026?
Celebrities
Will Mikhail Litvin have an official fight (pop-MMA or boxing) before December 31, 2026?
Yes9.1x11%
No1.1x89%
$19,857 vol · 442 traders
What will the Bank of Russia key rate be after the June 19 meeting?
Finance
What will the Bank of Russia key rate be after the June 19 meeting?
14.25% (-25 bp)3.1x32%
14.00% (-50 bp)2.4x41%
13.75% (-75 bp)22.4x4%
$14,145 vol · 410 traders
Who will win IEM Cologne 2026 - the main CS2 Major of the season?
Gaming
Who will win IEM Cologne 2026 - the main CS2 Major of the season?
Vitality2.0x51%
Team Spirit6.4x16%
MOUZ44.2x2%
$13,863 vol · 479 traders
Will Mellstroy and IShowSpeed do a joint stream by end of 2026?
Celebrities
Will Mellstroy and IShowSpeed do a joint stream by end of 2026?
Yes10.9x9%
No1.1x91%
$13,790 vol · 284 traders
Which foreign brand returns to Russia first by December 31, 2026?
Russia
Which foreign brand returns to Russia first by December 31, 2026?
Coca-Cola84.7x1%
Apple81.1x1%
None of these returns officially in 20261.3x77%
$13,382 vol · 439 traders
What will the Bank of Russia key rate be at the end of 2026?
Finance
What will the Bank of Russia key rate be at the end of 2026?
13.50% - 14.25%3.5x28%
12.50% - 13.25%3.3x31%
11.50% - 12.25%3.7x27%
$9,095 vol · 327 traders
When will the US-Iran peace memorandum be signed?
Politics
When will the US-Iran peace memorandum be signed?
By June 1, 20262.8x36%
June 1 - July 31, 20264.6x22%
August 1 - October 31, 20265.1x19%
$8,170 vol · 271 traders
When will Dima Maslennikov hit 20 million YouTube subscribers?
Entertainment
When will Dima Maslennikov hit 20 million YouTube subscribers?
Before July 31, 20265.7x17%
August 1 - September 30, 20262.5x40%
October 1 - November 30, 20264.3x23%
$8,043 vol · 358 traders
When will normal shipping resume in the Strait of Hormuz?
Politics
When will normal shipping resume in the Strait of Hormuz?
By July 31, 20264.1x24%
August 1 - October 31, 20262.8x36%
November 1 - December 31, 20266.4x16%
$7,517 vol · 248 traders
When will commercial flights resume from Anapa Airport (Vityazevo)?
Russia
When will commercial flights resume from Anapa Airport (Vityazevo)?
Before July 1, 202633.6x3%
July 1 - September 30, 20262.3x43%
October 1 - December 31, 20264.4x23%
$7,473 vol · 327 traders
Will Artem Chekalin be released from custody by 30 June 2026?
Celebrities
Will Artem Chekalin be released from custody by 30 June 2026?
Yes52.2x2%
No1.0x98%
$7,454 vol · 219 traders
Will Arman Tsarukyan get a UFC title fight by 31 December 2026?
Sports
Will Arman Tsarukyan get a UFC title fight by 31 December 2026?
Yes1.6x62%
No2.6x38%
$6,644 vol · 305 traders
What will be the maximum temperature in Krasnodar in July 2026? Record is +40.7°C
Weather
What will be the maximum temperature in Krasnodar in July 2026? Record is +40.7°C
Warm (+35.1 to +37.0°C)3.4x30%
Hot (+37.1 to +38.5°C)2.7x38%
Anomalous (+38.6 to +40.7°C)6.6x15%
$6,269 vol · 291 traders
Erik Gafarov after the Sobchak interview: what will happen in the Netherlands by end of 2026?
Russia
Erik Gafarov after the Sobchak interview: what will happen in the Netherlands by end of 2026?
In NL with refugee status1.2x86%
In NL, refugee status revoked20.8x5%
Emigrated to a third country19.2x5%
$5,831 vol · 302 traders
Kholop 3 box office in Russia, summer 2026 (Jun 11 - Aug 31)
Entertainment
Kholop 3 box office in Russia, summer 2026 (Jun 11 - Aug 31)
Less than 2B RUB7.0x14%
2 to 3B RUB2.2x45%
3 to 4B RUB3.6x28%
$5,822 vol · 304 traders
What will be the maximum temperature in Moscow in July 2026? Record is +38.2°C
Weather
What will be the maximum temperature in Moscow in July 2026? Record is +38.2°C
Cool (< +30.0°C)6.3x16%
Warm (+30.0 to +32.9°C)2.2x45%
Hot (+33.0 to +34.9°C)3.3x30%
$5,685 vol · 295 traders
What will be the maximum temperature in Sochi in July 2026? Record is +39.4°C
Weather
What will be the maximum temperature in Sochi in July 2026? Record is +39.4°C
Mild (≤ +31.5°C)7.4x13%
Warm (+31.6 to +33.0°C)3.2x32%
Hot (+33.1 to +35.0°C)3.2x31%
$5,382 vol · 311 traders
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🔥 Trending See all →
1
What price will Bitcoin close at on December 31, 2026?
$58,172
15% 2
What price will Bitcoin close at on June 30, 2026?
$42,214
25% 3
Will Putin and Zelensky meet in person by the end of 2026?
$33,964
76% 4
Will Mikhail Litvin have an official fight (pop-MMA or boxing) before December 31, 2026?
$19,857
89% 5
What will the Bank of Russia key rate be after the June 19 meeting?
$14,145
41% 6
Who will win IEM Cologne 2026 - the main CS2 Major of the season?
$13,863
51%
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