Active prediction markets on Orakul
Geopolitics
Will Putin and Zelensky meet in person by the end of 2026?
Yes4.2x24%
No1.3x76%
$33,964 vol · 655
Finance
What will the Bank of Russia key rate be after the June 19 meeting?
14.25% (-25 bp)3.1x32%
14.00% (-50 bp)2.4x41%
13.75% (-75 bp)22.4x4%
$14,145 vol · 410
Finance
What will the Bank of Russia key rate be at the end of 2026?
13.50% - 14.25%3.5x28%
12.50% - 13.25%3.3x31%
11.50% - 12.25%3.7x27%
$9,095 vol · 327
Politics
When will the US-Iran peace memorandum be signed?
By June 1, 20262.8x36%
June 1 - July 31, 20264.6x22%
August 1 - October 31, 20265.1x19%
$8,170 vol · 271
Politics
When will normal shipping resume in the Strait of Hormuz?
By July 31, 20264.1x24%
August 1 - October 31, 20262.8x36%
November 1 - December 31, 20266.4x16%
$7,517 vol · 248
Geopolitics
Will Russia and Ukraine sign a peace agreement by end of 2026?
Yes, in Q4 2026 (October–December)10.7x9%
Leaders' meeting only, no signed document5.6x18%
No document signed by end of 20261.5x68%
$2,346 vol · 158