Active prediction markets on Orakul
Politics
When will the US-Iran peace memorandum be signed?
By June 1, 202678.5x1%
June 1 - July 31, 20261.2x86%
August 1 - October 31, 202614.5x7%
$9,267 vol · 342
Politics
When will normal shipping resume in the Strait of Hormuz?
By July 31, 20267.4x14%
August 1 - October 31, 20262.0x51%
November 1 - December 31, 20264.5x22%
$7,794 vol · 315
Politics
Will Pavel Durov appear on Russian territory in 2026?
Yes53.9x2%
No1.0x98%
$5,079 vol · 245
Politics
Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel on January 1, 2027?
Yes, remains Prime Minister1.3x77%
No, does not remain Prime Minister4.3x23%
$1,267 vol · 88
Politics
Which government will be first to officially confirm alien life or technology before end of 2026?
China541.5x0.2%
Other country or international organisation65.0x2%
Nobody1.2x80%
$1,099 vol · 73