Active prediction markets on Orakul
Politics
When will the US-Iran peace memorandum be signed?
By June 1, 20262.8x36%
June 1 - July 31, 20264.6x22%
August 1 - October 31, 20265.1x19%
$8,170 vol · 271
Politics
When will normal shipping resume in the Strait of Hormuz?
By July 31, 20264.1x24%
August 1 - October 31, 20262.8x36%
November 1 - December 31, 20266.4x16%
$7,517 vol · 248
Sports
Will Arman Tsarukyan get a UFC title fight by 31 December 2026?
Yes1.6x62%
No2.6x38%
$6,644 vol · 305
Politics
Will Pavel Durov appear on Russian territory in 2026?
Yes75.3x1%
No1.0x99%
$4,996 vol · 233
Geopolitics
Will Russia and Ukraine sign a peace agreement by end of 2026?
Yes, in Q4 2026 (October–December)10.7x9%
Leaders' meeting only, no signed document5.6x18%
No document signed by end of 20261.5x68%
$2,346 vol · 158