Active prediction markets on Orakul
Geopolitics
Will Putin and Zelensky meet in person by the end of 2026?
Yes5.3x19%
No1.2x81%
$35,645 vol · 711
Finance
What will the Bank of Russia key rate be after the June 19 meeting?
14.25% (-25 bp)4.9x20%
14.00% (-50 bp)1.7x60%
13.75% (-75 bp)29.3x3%
$14,730 vol · 481
Finance
What will the Bank of Russia key rate be at the end of 2026?
13.50% - 14.25%6.6x15%
12.50% - 13.25%2.5x40%
11.50% - 12.25%3.0x33%
$9,360 vol · 383
Weather
What will be the maximum temperature in Krasnodar in July 2026? Record is +40.7°C
Warm (+35.1 to +37.0°C)3.4x30%
Hot (+37.1 to +38.5°C)2.6x38%
Anomalous (+38.6 to +40.7°C)5.9x17%
$6,372 vol · 347
Weather
What will be the maximum temperature in Moscow in July 2026? Record is +38.2°C
Cool (< +30.0°C)7.8x13%
Warm (+30.0 to +32.9°C)2.4x42%
Hot (+33.0 to +34.9°C)3.1x33%
$5,790 vol · 351
Weather
What will be the maximum temperature in Sochi in July 2026? Record is +39.4°C
Mild (≤ +31.5°C)5.6x18%
Warm (+31.6 to +33.0°C)2.8x35%
Hot (+33.1 to +35.0°C)3.4x30%
$5,511 vol · 377
Weather
What will be the maximum temperature in Saint Petersburg in July 2026? Record is +35.3°C
Cool (≤ +28.0°C)2.4x41%
Warm (+28.1 to +31.0°C)3.6x28%
Hot (+31.1 to +33.5°C)4.4x23%
$5,177 vol · 327
Weather
What will be the maximum temperature in Yekaterinburg in July 2026? Record is +40.0°C
Cool (≤ +29.0°C)5.4x18%
Warm (+29.1 to +32.5°C)3.1x32%
Hot (+32.6 to +35.0°C)3.6x28%
$4,624 vol · 320
Geopolitics
Will Russia and Ukraine sign a peace agreement by end of 2026?
Yes, in Q4 2026 (October–December)12.7x8%
Leaders' meeting only, no signed document5.3x19%
No document signed by end of 20261.4x71%
$2,808 vol · 200