Active prediction markets on Orakul
Finance
What will the Bank of Russia key rate be after the June 19 meeting?
14.25% (-25 bp)3.1x32%
14.00% (-50 bp)2.4x41%
13.75% (-75 bp)22.4x4%
$14,145 vol · 410
Finance
What will the Bank of Russia key rate be at the end of 2026?
13.50% - 14.25%3.5x28%
12.50% - 13.25%3.3x31%
11.50% - 12.25%3.7x27%
$9,095 vol · 327
Politics
When will the US-Iran peace memorandum be signed?
By June 1, 20262.8x36%
June 1 - July 31, 20264.6x22%
August 1 - October 31, 20265.1x19%
$8,170 vol · 271
Politics
When will normal shipping resume in the Strait of Hormuz?
By July 31, 20264.1x24%
August 1 - October 31, 20262.8x36%
November 1 - December 31, 20266.4x16%
$7,517 vol · 248
Weather
What will be the maximum temperature in Krasnodar in July 2026? Record is +40.7°C
Warm (+35.1 to +37.0°C)3.4x30%
Hot (+37.1 to +38.5°C)2.7x38%
Anomalous (+38.6 to +40.7°C)6.6x15%
$6,269 vol · 291
Weather
What will be the maximum temperature in Moscow in July 2026? Record is +38.2°C
Cool (< +30.0°C)6.3x16%
Warm (+30.0 to +32.9°C)2.2x45%
Hot (+33.0 to +34.9°C)3.3x30%
$5,685 vol · 295
Weather
What will be the maximum temperature in Sochi in July 2026? Record is +39.4°C
Mild (≤ +31.5°C)7.4x13%
Warm (+31.6 to +33.0°C)3.2x32%
Hot (+33.1 to +35.0°C)3.2x31%
$5,382 vol · 311
Weather
What will be the maximum temperature in Saint Petersburg in July 2026? Record is +35.3°C
Cool (≤ +28.0°C)2.9x34%
Warm (+28.1 to +31.0°C)4.1x24%
Hot (+31.1 to +33.5°C)3.1x32%
$5,101 vol · 299
Weather
What will be the maximum temperature in Yekaterinburg in July 2026? Record is +40.0°C
Cool (≤ +29.0°C)4.8x21%
Warm (+29.1 to +32.5°C)3.2x31%
Hot (+32.6 to +35.0°C)3.8x26%
$4,572 vol · 284