Where will USD/RUB close on Friday May 15, 2026?

This market resolves on May 15, 2026 by the official USD/RUB exchange rate fixing published by the Central Bank of Russia at 12:30 MSK on cbr.ru. 📋 Background Weekly USD/RUB closing market. Current level at launch (May 7, 2026) ~75.00 RUB/USD. April-May monthly range: 73.50 - 81.30. Iran-war oil revenues support the ruble, but volatility remains elevated due to geopolitics. 📋 Categories (mutually exclusive) • **< 73.00** - sharp ruble strengthening (>2.7%) • **73.00 - 74.50** - moderate strengthening • **74.50 - 76.00** - around current levels (consensus) • **76.00 - 77.50** - moderate weakening • **> 77.50** - sharp ruble weakening (>3.3%) Boundaries are inclusive on the lower bound and exclusive on the upper (e.g. 74.50 falls in «74.50 - 76.00», while 74.49 falls in «73.00 - 74.50»). 📋 Resolution criteria Winning category is the one containing the official Bank of Russia USD/RUB fixing published on May 15, 2026 at 12:30 MSK at cbr.ru/eng/currency_base/daily/. 📰 Verification Primary source: official CBR website (cbr.ru), «Bank of Russia exchange rates» table. Additionally: TASS, RIA, Interfax quoting CBR directly. Minimum 2 independent confirmations. 🔧 Process Trading closes May 15, 2026 at 12:30 MSK - at the moment of CBR fixing publication. Resolution within 30 min of publication. Dispute window: 6 hours. 💡 This is a weekly market: a new round opens each Monday with updated category boundaries.