When will Dima Maslennikov hit 20 million YouTube subscribers?

This market resolves based on the first moment when the subscriber counter of Dima Maslennikov's @pognalishow channel on YouTube publicly shows 20,000,000 or higher. 📋 Background Dmitry Maslennikov is a Russian YouTube blogger running ПОZНАЛИ ШОУ (@pognalishow), specializing in mystery investigations, extreme hide-and-seek, and overnight stays in abandoned places. As of May 8, 2026, the channel has ~19.6 million subscribers. Average growth over the last 6 months: ~83K subscribers/month (2,750/day). At current pace, the channel should reach 20 million subs around end of September 2026 (~400K more in ~145 days). The actual date depends heavily on viral videos, his April 2026 engagement to Klava Koka, YouTube seasonality, and algorithmic factors. 📋 Categories (mutually exclusive) • **Before July 31, 2026** - above-average growth burst (requires ~4,762/day, 73% above mean) • **August 1 - September 30, 2026** - upper portion of mean pace (consensus) • **October 1 - November 30, 2026** - lower portion of mean pace (consensus) • **December 1 - December 31, 2026** - noticeable slowdown • **Will NOT reach 20M in 2026** - stagnation, decline, or channel loss 📋 Resolution criteria Winning category contains the first publicly recorded moment showing 20,000,000+ subscribers on https://www.youtube.com/@pognalishow. Time zone: Moscow time (MSK / UTC+3). ✅ Counts: channel page screenshot showing 20M+; Social Blade (socialblade.com/youtube/handle/pognalishow) record dated; Whatstat (whatstat.ru/channel/pognalishow) record dated; confirmation by Maslennikov on official accounts. ❌ Does not count: brief display glitches under 1 hour; 20M on other platforms; achieved via duplicate channel or channel merger; if channel is blocked/deleted before reaching 20M, the «Will NOT reach 20M» category wins. 📰 Verification: channel page screenshot with date and time. Additionally: Social Blade, Whatstat. Minimum 2 independent confirmations. 🔧 Process Market resolves within 6 hours of confirmed 20M. If channel does not reach 20M by December 31, 2026, 23:59 MSK, the «Will NOT reach 20M in 2026» category wins. Dispute window: 24 hours.