What will be the maximum temperature in Moscow during week May 11-17, 2026? - Orakul
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What will be the maximum temperature in Moscow during week May 11-17, 2026?

Orakul ✓ $5,354 vol 249 traders
Ended
✓ Anomalously hot (> +26.0°C)
Cold front (≤ +15.0°C)
$5,354
Volume
249
traders
Closes
2.0%
Fee
Chance
Cold front (≤ +15.0°C)
8%
Cool (+15.1 to +18.0°C)
12%
Normal (+18.1 to +22.0°C)
15%
Warm (+22.1 to +26.0°C)
43%
Anomalously hot (> +26.0°C)
22%
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Resolution Rules

This market resolves on May 18, 2026 by Orakul administration based on official Hydrometcenter of Russia data for the highest daily Tmax at Moscow VDNKh weather station (WMO 27612) during May 11-17, 2026 inclusive (Moscow time). 📋 Context Weekly weather prediction market for Moscow max temperature. Period: 7 days from Monday May 11 to Sunday May 17, 2026. Mid-May VDNKh climatology: mean daily max +18-19°C; typical mid-May week max range +12 to +28°C; modal +18-22°C. 📋 Categories (mutually exclusive) • **Cold front (≤ +15.0°C)** • **Cool (+15.1 to +18.0°C)** • **Normal (+18.1 to +22.0°C)** — modal • **Warm (+22.1 to +26.0°C)** • **Anomalously hot (> +26.0°C)** Lower bound inclusive, upper exclusive. Hydrometcenter precision: 0.1°C. 📋 Resolution: highest Tmax of 7 days at WMO 27612 per meteoinfo.ru. Backup: rp5.ru. Cross-check: NOAA GHCN-Daily. Market closes May 17, 2026 at 21:00 MSK. Resolution May 18 morning. Dispute window: 12 hours. 💡 **Weekly market** — new round opens every Monday for the following calendar week.

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✓ Anomalously hot (> +26.0°C)
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